Share Market Highlights 9 April 2025: Trump tariffs overshadow RBI moves; Sensex drops on IT, pharma weakness

Table of Content


Initiate Underperform with TP of Rs 90

Has built the lowest cost offline retail distribution in India

47% of stores have no other value retailer nearby

Will face increasing competition & is at peak margin profile

Competitors have stronger right to win than Vishal

Going to enter a phase of increasing competition from offline and online players

Jefferies on Vishal Mega Mart

Initiate Buy with TP of Rs 125

Compelling value retail play with strong presence in Tier-2 and beyond

Retail format is a complete shopping destination, with a slight skew towards apparel and a high share of own labels

Store economics are solid, with <2Y payback for a typical new store

See a long growth runway ahead; forecast 27% earning CAGR over FY24-27

Balance Sheet is net cash with best-in-class return ratios

Jefferies on IT

Higher Uncertainty & Tariff Impact To Hurt IT Demand In FY26

EPS Estimates Cut By 2-14%, Favour Stocks With Higher Growth Visibility

Unless Outlook For US GDP Growth Improves, IT Stocks Are Unlikely To Rerate

Prefer Stocks Are Infosys, Coforge & Sagility

Infosys – Buy Call, Target Price Cut To Rs1,700/sh From Rs1,835/sh

Coforge – Buy call, Target Price Cut To Rs7,860/sh From Rs10,350/sh

Sagality – Buy Call, Target Price Cut To Rs48/sh From Rs64/sh

HCL Tech – Hold Call, Target Price Cut To Rs1,520/sh From Rs1,900/sh

TCS Downgrade To Hold From Buy Call, Target Price Cut To Rs3,300/sh From Rs4,530/sh

Wipro Downgrade To Underperform From Hold, Target Price Cut To Rs210/sh From Rs310/sh

Mphasis Downgrade To Hold From Buy Call, Target Price Cut To Rs2,300/sh From Rs3,250/sh

MOSL on KEI Industries

Neutral Call, Target Price At Rs3,000/sh

Demand Remains Strong For Cables, Driven By Govt Capex & Higher Copper Prices

Revenue Growth Target Is 18% In FY25/26 & 20% In FY27

Growth Concerns & Raw Material Cost Volatility Following Tariff Changes By The US

EPS Estimates Cut By 4-8% For FY26/FY27

Mgmt Focussed On Expanding Retail, Optimising The Product Mix

Mgmt Focussed On Leveraging Industry Trends For Long-term Growth

DAM Capital On Affle India

Buy Call, Target Price At Rs1,730/sh

Growth Strategy Focuses On Using Opticks AI for better client conversions.

Growth Strategy Focuses On Expanding Into Connected TV

Growth Strategy Focuses On Targetting SMEs For Localised Ads & Better RoI

Growth Strategy Focusses On Adopting Agentic AI Internally To Boost Operating Leverage

Nuvama on Godrej Properties

Buy Call, Target Price Cut To Rs2,429/sh

Q4 Pre-sales Of Rs10,200 Cr, Up 7% YoY, The Highest-ever

Sales Volumes Of 7.5msf, Down 8% YoY, Realisations Up 16% YoY To Rs13,381/sq ft

Strong Sales But Weakness In Housing Volumes Raises Concerns About Future Growth

Morgan Stanley Godrej Properties

Overweight Call, Target Price At Rs3,400/sh

Q4 Pre-sales Of Rs10,200 Cr, Exceeding Estimates Of Rs7,700 cr

FY25 Pre-sales Of Rs29,400 Cr Up 31% YoY, The Highest Among Indian Developers

Sales Growth: Strong Demand From NCR Contributes

Significantly, Posing A Concentration Risk

Prefer Godrej For Its Robust Pre-sales Momentum

Investec On MFIs

The Current Indian Microfinance Cycle Is Nearing Its End

AQ Indicators Improving Across Many MFIs

Top Performers Include CA Grameen, Ujjivan SFB & L&T Finance

Recovery Will Be Gradual, Leading To Sector Consolidation

Many Players Still Face AQ Challenges And Will Need Capital

Investec On Vedanta

Upgrade To Buy Call, Target Price At Rs510/sh

After A 17% Correction, Vedanta Presents A Good Opportunity For FY26-27

Average FCF/Dividend Yield Of 12/7% Over FY26-27

The Current Market Price Reflects A 12% Discount To Spot LME Prices

Strong Position On Cost, With Aluminium/Zinc Smelters In The First Quartile Of The Global Cost Curve

Monitor Potential Issues With Capital Allocation/Restructuring

MOSL on Gujarat Gas

Buy, TP Rs 400

Valuation de-rating largely over

STK has corrected 34% over 6 months, now trading at 21x FY27E P/E

Believe fundamentals are undergoing a transformative shift: Weaker crude & lower slope – twin emerging tailwinds



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