Share Market Highlights 23 April 2025: Sensex reclaims 80,000 mark after 4 months on IT, auto rally

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UBS On Chola Investment

Upgrade To Buy, Target Raised To Rs1,950/sh

Best Combination Of Growth And RoE

Forecast 24% AUM & 30% EPS CAGR Over FY25-27

Company Has Levers To Grow AUM At 25% CAGR

Credit Cost Likely Peaked In FY25

Expecting RoA To Improve To 2.5% By FY27 Vs 2.3% In FY25

Raise EPS By 2%/3% For FY26/27 On Lower Cost Of Fund & Credit Cost Assumptions

JPM on HCL Tech

Upgrade to OW, TP Rs 1750

4Q refreshingly in-line with FY26 guide that hasn’t been jaded by post tariff macro

Services have now performed ahead or at parity with fastest growing scale peers 3yrs in a row

With stk trading at 4% div yield & a 6% FCF yield, see value

Jefferies on HCL Tech

Hold, TP cut to Rs 1490

4Q in line; however, deal wins and relatively stronger FY26 growth guidance of 2%-5% YoYcc were +ves

Whilst HCLT has seen limited impact of tariffs on its business thus far, it expects pressures on discretionary spend across vertical

Nomura on HCL Tech

Buy, TP Rs 1670

4Q– marginal miss at growth but strong deal wins steal show

FY26E guidance stands better vs peers

CO noted that it expects impact of tariff-induced uncertainty to spill over to other sectors beyond directly impacted sectors with qtr’s lag

Nuvama On HCL Tech

Buy Call, Target Rs1,700/sh

Q4 In-line With Expectations

CC Revenue Down 0.8% QoQ, Was In-Line

EBIT Came In-line, TCV Came In Strong At

FY26 Revenue Growth Guidance Was Slightly Better Than Expectations

FY26 Revenue Growth Guidance With A Reasonable Required CQGR (0.3%–1.5%)

MS On HCL Tech

Equal-weight Call, Target Rs1,600/sh

Organically Guidance Would Be Approx 1-4% YoY CC, By Est

EBIT Margin Guidance Is Unchanged At 18-19% (In-line With Forecast)

Citi On HCL Tech

Neutral Call, Target Rs1,510/sh

Reported A Largely In-line Q4 As Well As Guidance

Decent Q4 In Context Of The Environment As Well As Peers

New Deal TCV Strong In Q4 But Still Down 5% YoY

Mgmt Says, Environment Very Uncertain; Will Look For Opportunities

Mgmt Says, Guidance Implies 0% CAGR For All Quarters Of FY26

Tweak FY26/FY27 EPS Est By 2% Each; Tweak Multiple To 22x (Earlier 23x) Given Lower Growth

Nomura on Havells

Buy, TP Rs 1873

4Q margins ahead of estimates; demand tailwinds from C&W, Lloyd

Operating leverage to drive margins

Expect healthy demand tailwinds in Cables & recovery in ECD to sustain 15-16% revenue growth (ex-Lloyd) over FY26-27F

JPM on Havells

Neutral, TP Rs 1700

Q4 beat led by margin; Cautious near term demand narrative a bit of a dampener

Jefferies on Havells

Hold, TP Rs 1800

STK trades at 60x FY26e PE, 30% above hist 10-Y avg PE

MS on AU Small BK

OW, TP Rs 750

AU bank delivered 1.5% RoA (much higher than peer banks’) despite high interest rates, tight liquidity & elevated asset quality stress

Over next 2 yrs, RoA can expand as rate cycle has turned & MFI asset quality improves

Nuvama on AU Small BK

Reduce, TP Rs 530

Credit cost missed consensus by 15% in Q4

Credit cost in cards rose to 16% from 11% QoQ

Guidance is for elevated credit cost in H1 but improvement in H2FY26E

Citi On AU SFB

Neutral Call, Target Price At Rs625/sh

Delivered 1.36% RoA In-line With Citi Estimates

Robust Fee Income & Treasury Gains Of Rs100 Cr Utilised To Create Accelerated Provisions

Credit Cost Elevated At 2.5% Vs 2.06% QoQ

NIMs Moderated By 7 bps Due To A Change In Asset Mix

Universal License Is Being Reviewed By The Regulator; Approval Anticipated In CY26

HSBC On M&M

Buy Call, Target Rs3,320/sh

M&M Earnings Upgrade Cycle Is Behind

FY26 Earnings Growth May Outperform Most Other Auto Companies

BEV Traction Is Key & Start Has Been Patchy

Pick-up In BEV Demand Is Key Upside Catalyst For Stock

Valns Reasonable Considering Strong Competitive Positioning In Tractors, LCVs & SUVs

HSBC On Power

Power Demand Up In March; Slows In April As Base Catches Up (Demand Up 2% YoY)

FY25 Demand Growth Slowed To 4%

One-THIRD Of Demand Growth Shouldered By RE With 28 GW Capacity Addition

Storage Only Tenders Of 4 GWh Led By DISCOMs Awarded In CY25TD

Discoms Seek To Manage Peak Demand



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