Five undervalued auto stocks that are set for a comeback

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The Nifty Auto index has corrected more than 20% from its peak, dragged down by a broader market sell-off and a bloodbath in small-cap stocks.

Contrarian investors should be scanning the horizon for hidden value. Beneath the surface gloom, tectonic shifts are reshaping the sector: electric vehicle adoption is rising, and premiumisation trends are defying economic headwinds.

For investors with a multi-year lens, this is a rare alignment of value and vision. With this in mind, let’s look at the top 5 undervalued automobile stocks.

We have filtered these stocks using the Equitymaster’s top undervalued automobiles stocks screener.

#1 Popular Vehicles and Services

Popular Vehicles and Services is a diversified automobile dealership covering the entire lifecycle of vehicle ownership.

The company offers new vehicle sales from various original equipment manufacturers (OEMs), including Maruti Suzuki, Honda, Jaguar Land Rover, Tata Motors, and BharatBenz, featuring passenger, commercial, and electric vehicles.

It also engages in pre-owned vehicle sales with trade-in options and certified vehicles. Additionally, it provides maintenance services at authorised centers and operates the ‘Maruti Driving School’ in Kerala.

Coming to its financial performance, the company has delivered a solid top-line growth of 25% compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) over a 3-year period and a net profit CAGR of 35%. The last 3-year return on equity (ROE) has been 16%.

The company has a not-so-strong balance sheet. It has a total debt of 506.8 crore against a cash and bank balance of 46 crore.

The stock is currently trading at a price-to-book ratio (PB) of 1.2 against an industry average of 2.7.

The stock has a limited trading history. It was trading at a PB around 3 after listing on the exchanges but has been in a downtrend since.

Looking ahead, the management of Popular Vehicles & Services expects a significant 20-25% on-year revenue growth for FY26.

The long-term revenue growth target remains 15-20%. They anticipate Q4FY25 will be far better than Q2FY25 and expect a bounce back from Q4 onwards.

The company is focused on growing the service business, targeting a growth of about 20-25% for the year. This could drive profitability, and the return on capital employed.

#2 Tata Motors

Tata Motors is a global automobile manufacturer with a strong presence in India, encompassing commercial vehicles (CV), passenger vehicles (PV), including electric vehicles (EV), and the modern luxury brands of Jaguar Land Rover (JLR).

Tata Motors is undergoing a strategic realignment, with the standalone business expected to comprise 60% CV and 40% residual PV in a separation.

The stock has delivered a topline growth of 21% CAGR over the 3-year period and a net profit CAGR of 128% over the same period. The last 3-year return on equity (ROE) has been 15%.

This stark difference in sales and profit growth is due to several factors, such as higher volumes and better product mix.

Tata Motors implemented strategies focusing on profitable growth, which included better management of costs. The commercial vehicles business achieved its highest-ever profits due to a focus on profitable growth and a demand-pull strategy.

A decrease in commodity prices during the period, particularly in FY24, helped to reduce input costs, thereby improving profit margins.

After the recent correction, the stock is trading at a PB of 2.2 against an industry average of 2.7.

Recently, specific business segments have started facing challenges, with stress in the small commercial vehicle and pickups.

External factors such as a tense global geo-political scenario causing supply chain disruptions also pose a concern.

These negative factors have resulted in the recent derating of the stock.

JLR is targeting double-digit operating margins by 2026 and plans to be net cash-positive by FY25.

The company is focused on elevating brand profitability through top-end offerings and personalisation, optimising investments, reducing costs, and enhancing after-sales profitability. A new Jaguar brand re-launch is underway.

The EV business aims to drive up penetration through multiple product launches, enhancing the charging network, and introducing aspirational product features while improving profitability.

#3 VST Tillers Tractors

VST Tillers Tractors is a prominent player in the Indian agricultural machinery sector, primarily involved in the manufacturing and trading of agricultural machinery and their spare parts. It’s the largest power tiller manufacturer in India.

VST is entering the EV space, supplying drive trains for electric tractors to a US-based company and unveiling its own FIELDTRAC EV series.

The company has delivered a moderate top-line growth of 8% CAGR over the 3-year period and a net profit CAGR of 9%.

Its balance sheet is lean and clean, with net zero debt for over a decade. The last 3-year return on equity (ROE) has been 13%.

The stock, after the recent correction, is trading at a PB of 2.8 against an industry average of 3.1.

The stock took a hit despite the company reporting a solid 29% revenue growth year-on-year (YoY) and even doubling its operating profit.

So, what went wrong?

The company holds equity investments, and their value dropped temporarily this quarter, leading to a notional loss of 11 crore.

Last year, they’d gained 15 crore from the same investments, so this swing spooked investors—even though no real cash was lost, it made the bottom line look shaky.

Then there’s the slow start to the next quarter (Q4). Sales for both tractors and tillers dipped in January, which management blamed on customers delaying purchases due to cash flow issues.

They’re confident February and March will bounce back, but investors tend to panic at the first sign of a slowdown.

Adding to the jitters is the unpredictable US market. The company had big plans there, but potential tariffs on steel and aluminium threw a wrench in those plans.

Meanwhile, growth in Europe has stalled. Economic turbulence there means exports are likely to stay flat or inch up just a tiny bit this year.

Looking ahead, the company has jumped into the big tractor game with their new VST Zetor range, targeting heavy-duty 40-50 HP machines. It sold over 100 units last quarter and are aiming for 1,500 in FY26.

Meanwhile, it’s also pushing deeper into northern India – states like Uttar Pradesh, Madhya Pradesh, and Punjab – where it has set up dealer networks.

The company is also eyeing acquisitions or partnerships, both in India and abroad, to fast-track growth. The management has promised at least one deal within two years, which could be a game-changer.

#4 Atul Auto 

Atul Auto is engaged in the 3-wheeler business. The company offers a comprehensive range of 3-wheeler products that cater to both passenger and cargo transportation needs.

Atul Auto is notable for being India’s only pure-play auto-rickshaw company and stands among the top five three-wheeler manufacturers in India. It’s also distinguished as the only player with a complete range of 3-wheeler products across all fuel types: diesel, petrol, CNG, LPG, and electric.

The company is increasingly focusing on green mobility and has a subsidiary, Atul Greentech, dedicated to the development and production of lithium-ion battery-based electric vehicles for both passenger and cargo applications. It also develops related components like battery packs.

Coming to its financial performance, company has delivered a good top-line growth of 21% CAGR over the 3-year period and a net profit CAGR of 40% over the same period. The last 3-year return on equity (ROE) has been -2%.

The stock, after the recent correction, is trading at a PB of 2.8 against an industry average of 6.2.

Looking ahead, the company looks well-positioned for a rebound.

EV-L5 sales are growing nicely, proving Atul’s ability to tap into India’s EV boom. Plus, using a subsidiary model shields the parent company from excessive upfront risks.

With reasonable debt and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.3, Atul can fund growth without taking on unnecessary financial risk.

#5 Landmark Cars

Landmark Cars is a leading Indian multi-brand automotive retailer. It specialises in the sales and service of premium and luxury vehicles.

The company represents an impressive portfolio of global and Indian automotive brands, including Honda, Mercedes-Benz, Renault, Jeep, Volkswagen, Ashok Leyland, BYD, MG Motors, Mahindra & Mahindra (M&M), and Kia.

Coming to its financial performance, the stock has delivered top-line growth of 19% CAGR over the 3-year period and a net profit CAGR of 65% over the same period. The last 3-year return on equity (ROE) has been 20%.

The stock is trading at a PB of 3.3 which is slightly higher than the industry average of 2.7 but it is lower than its 3-year median PB of 5.9.

In the latest quarter, its revenue grew 24% YoY; the company achieved its highest-ever quarterly earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (Ebitda) of 69.5 core at a 5.8% margin on reported revenue.

However, gross margins contracted both on YoY basis and quarter-on-quarter basis. This contraction is primarily attributed to the new store addition, where the service revenue is still ramping up and is currently at around 1%.

This has led to the continuation of the decline in the stock price.

The gross margins in the existing outlets remain intact, and the management expects overall gross margins to improve once the new outlets reach their full potential.

Looking ahead, Landmark aims to grow its top line and profitability to be equal to or higher than industry benchmarks as it continues to invest in new brands and territories.

The majority of planned expansions are now completed, with the focus shifting to ramping up business volumes.

It anticipates that the penetration of EVs in the overall market will increase to around 7% or 8% initially and then stabilize.

Landmark continues to be the largest partner for BYD in India and expects further launches from BYD this year, including the Sealion 7 SUV and the eMAX 7.

It’s after-sales business is expected to regain its historic growth trajectory as new workshops scale up.

Conclusion

The Indian auto sector’s recent slump isn’t a dead end—it’s a detour. The five stocks above offer glimpses of value in a sector undergoing seismic shifts: EV adoption, premiumization, and rural revival.

But let’s be clear—this isn’t a green light to hit the gas blindly.

Before jumping in, ask:

Does the debt tell a growth story or a warning tale?

Are EVs a tailwind or a hype cycle for this company?

Is the management’s vision backed by a track record?

It’s always a good idea for investors to evaluate the company’s fundamentals, corporate governance, and valuations of the stock as key factors when conducting due diligence before making investment decisions.

Investing isn’t about shortcuts; it’s about homework. Dive into annual reports, stress-test assumptions, and weigh risks against your financial goals.

Happy investing.

Disclaimer: This article is for information purposes only. It is not a stock recommendation and should not be treated as such.

This article is syndicated from Equitymaster.com

 



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