Kotak
Maintain Buy; Cut TP to Rs 3800 from Rs 3900
Weak print
International business grows 0.6% qoq; better growth in developed markets
EBIT margin misses estimate by 70 bps
Healthy deal TCV in H2 provides some growth visibility in FY26
TCS will be more resilient, although the gap has narrowed
Citi
Maintain Sell; Cut TP to Rs 3000 from Rs 3210
Delivered a weak Q4; EBIT ~3% below est, driven by lower EBIT margin
Mgmt. commentary – Uncertainty crept in March; saw decision making delays & ramp downs in some cases
Sector growth has been challenged; uncertainty will make it tougher
Valuations remain high in that context
UBS
Buy Call, Target Price At Rs4,250/sh
Q4 Marginally Below Expectations Albeit Strong Deal TCV Of $ 12.2 bn, Aided Comfort
North America Order Book Of $6.8 bn, Highest-ever, Was Encouraging
Mgmt Did Call Out Seeing Deal Deferrals & Delayed Decision Making In Some Segments During Quarter
Mgmt Continue To See Robust Deal Momentum In North American BFSI
Despite The Macro Uncertainty, Management Sees Possibility Of FY26 To Be Better Than FY25
Nomura
Neutral, TP cut to Rs 3490
More misses than hits in 4Q FY25
Growth visibility for FY26F is still hazy
Management continues to expect FY26E to be better than FY25 for major markets
2-3% cut in FY26-27F EPS; stk trades at 21.4x FY27F EPS
GS
Buy, TP cut to Rs 3960
Q4: both rev growth & EBIT margins marginally below GSe
Co’s commentary, flat headcount & deferred wage hike suggest an uncertain growth outlook
Co is seeing delays in decision-making, with some project ramp downs, & discretionary spends
Jefferies
Hold, TP cut to Rs 3400
4Q missed est. all across with margin miss being key -ve surprise
Growing pressures on discretionary IT spends & delays in decision-making is likely to limit growth & margin expansion
Cut FY26/27 EPS est. by 3.5%
Brokerages on Tata Steel
JPMorgan
Maintain Overweight with TP of Rs 180
Netherlands transformation program to target EUR500mn+ cost savings over FY26-27
Positive development against a tough macro backdrop
Investor focus in the near term likely remains on the second order impact of demand destruction
Believe TATA’s structural cost reduction initiatives should not be ignored
Macquarie
Maintain Outperform with TP of Rs 156
Cost optimisation to aid decarbonisation capex
#Netherlands operations restructuring to achieve cost optimisation
FY26 savings target should start reflecting in Q2 and achieved by Q4
Do not expect the company to incur any meaningful capex to achieve the targeted savings
Execution is key
CITI
Sell, TP Rs 115
TSN has adopted a comprehensive transformation program; will reduce controllable costs by 15%
While this potentially implies an EBITDA/t improvement on $70-80/t, are unsure of -ve impact arising from global tariffs on demand & margins
CLSA
Hold Call, Target Price At `145/sh
Transformation Program For Netherlands Biz Aims To Cut Controllable Costs By 15% & Save €500 m In FY26
Expecting €80/t Profitability Improvement, But Will Monitor Further EBITDA Changes
Brokerages on Sun Pharma
Investec
Maintain Buy with TP of Rs 1980
Federal Circuit court has lifted preliminary injunction on Leqselvi’s launch in the US, paving the path for its launch
Court case with #Incyte shall continue and in case Incyte wins, Sun could be liable for damages
Believe Incyte’s incentives to settle are low and cannot conclude if they are more willing to settle now
Over the next 2-3 years Leqselvi’s ramp up is likely to be slow around sub $100m sales
Jefferies
Maintain Buy with TP of Rs 2265
Injunction for hair loss drug #LEQSELVI lifted in US, paves the way for a launch
The preliminary injunction had delayed Sun’s launch despite a US FDA approval
Preliminary injunction is no longer in effect and hence the company is no longer under a court order that delays or restricts it from launching LEQSELVI
Sun will disclose LEQSELVI launch plans in due course of time
Believe this ruling clears a major roadblock for Sun
Estimate sales of $50-70m in FY27 or ~3-5% of Sun’s global specialty sales
Nomura
Neutral Call, Target Price At Rs1,970/sh
Leqselvi’s Preliminary Injunction Lifted; Launch Expected In FY26
Gradual Traction In The Alopecia Areata Market.
Sun Pharma May Achieve Global Peak Sales Of More Than $500 m
Brokerages on RBI Draft Gold lending Norms
Nuvama
RBI’s new draft gold finance norms will be negative for growth
Though they are less strict than feared
LTV definition has been tightened more for NBFCs than banks
LTV of 75% or less will need to be maintained through the loan life, failing which there will be a penalty
This rule already exists for banks, but is new for NBFCs
Income generation loans need not be shown as gold loans, but to be classified as per business use
The new norms will impact loan growth for NBFCs more than banks
Muthoot stands most impacted
MS
Revised LTV definition for bullet loans could affect loan growth
This could be offset by the countercyclical nature of the segment
Monthly interest servicing not being mandated and rollover of bullet loans being allowed once interest is paid at maturity are better outcomes than feared
Muthoot’s countercyclical business could still ensure strong earnings vs. other NBFCs
Estimate ROE of 20% and 18% even if AUM is flat in FY26 and FY27 for Muthoot
Muthoot stock could be under pressure in the near term
Manappuram stock is better placed given Bain’s open offer price
Macquarie
Draft gold lending norms more punitive for NBFCs
For bullet repayment loans LTV should be computed on the total payment
Believe the impact of this will reduce the effective LTV of the product given the buffers required
Believe a separate collateral requirement could affect potential demand
Believe banks currently follow most of the regulations
The potential impact here will be larger for NBFCs
CLSA
Relief That Bullet Loans & Renewals Are Not Discontinued
RBI’s LTV Caps May Hinder Loan Growth, But Earnings Remain Protected For Muthoot & Manappuram
Expect 12-15% Loan Growth Over FY26-27
Jefferies
RBI’s Draft Norms For Gold Loans May Affect Growth & Provisions
Higher Gold Prices And Manageable Opex Intensity Provide Cushion
Muthoot Target Price At At Rs2,615/sh Is Preferred
Kotak Inst Eqt on Muthoot Fin
Downgrade to Add from Buy, TP cut to Rs 2250 from Rs 2400
Cut estimates by 10%
BI’s draft guidelines on gold loans potentially reduce maximum LTV for gold loan NBFCs, increase competition from moneylenders and/or reduce IRR on loans
While await seeing final form, are moderating growth & margin assumptions
Remain constructive on gold loan business, but expect an overhang of regulatory changes to temper stock performance
CLSA on Tyre Cos
Initiate on MRF, OP – TP Rs 128599
Initiate on Apollo Tyre, High conviction O-P, TP Rs 566
Initiate on Ceat, O-P, TP Rs 3493
Indian tyre market (c.$12bn) is undergoing a structural improvement in terms of profitability &, in turn, capital efficiency
Believe sector is currently at bottom of margin cycle & based on softening input commodity prices, gross margins are set to improve
With FCF largely agnostic to rev growth, margin cycle, along with capital expenditure discipline, believe is poised to improve
HSBC on Q-Com
QC’s GOV growth will remain in focus for investors in short term amid sustained intense competition
However, consensus food growth expectations are now down to 12-15%
Zomato– Buy, TP cut to Rs 280 from Rs 315
Swiggy – Hold, TP cut to Rs 385 from Rs 460
Jefferies India Strategy
Amidst global uncertainties, absolute index performance is difficult to predict
But India should emerge as a relative outperformed
5 reasons to Overweight India –
Lesser dependence to US & China demand
Relatively lower tariff incidence
Lower oil prices
Low FPI weights
A pro-growth RBI stance
Remain hopeful that the hard stance taken by the US on tariffs would eventually soften
Believe that the weaker economic trend in the US and China would still be our base case
Increase Underweight stance on IT and metals
Add NTPC on power demand improving and BPCL on beneficiary of lower oil prices to portfolio
Remove the listed part of Siemens from our portfolio as its non-power, along with Hindalco and Coforge
Preferred sectors in India are lenders (HDFC Bank, Axis, Chola Finance), power (JSW Energy, NTPC, Coal India), telecom (Bharti Airtel), Autos (TVS, Eicher), and real estate (Macrotech)
CITI on Trump 90-Day Pause
US Cannot avoid slowdown in growth and rise in inflation
Uncertainty over trade will persist and non- China imports may now surge
We continue to expect the Fed to cut policy rates in May or June.
Sector-specific tariffs on autos, aluminum and steel remain in place.
New tariffs on pharmaceuticals and semiconductors are expected.